Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.