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ItalianoNa iedereen in de Santiago Bernabeu in september te hebben verrast, hoopt sheriff Tiraspol nog een andere overstuur te veroorzaken en hun hoop op het bereiken van de knock-outrondes van de Champions League te vergroten wanneer ze woensdagavond 13-voudig kampioenen Real Madrid tegenkomen in hun voorlaatste groepsfase botsing.
De gastheren hebben dit seizoen 12 van hun 14 wedstrijden op eigen bodem gewonnen in alle competities, terwijl Los Blancos slechts één van hun 10 wedstrijden op de weg heeft verloren.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 0-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
