Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw has a probability of 24.3% and a win for Uruguay has a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Uruguay win it is 1-0 (6.92%).