World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 27, 2026 1.00am
Guadalajara Stadium

Uruguay vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 11.00pm
Uruguay 2 - 2 Cape Verde

Spain

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 5.00pm
Spain 4 - 0 Saudi Arabia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw has a probability of 24.3% and a win for Uruguay has a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Uruguay win it is 1-0 (6.92%).

Result

Uruguay 20.25% (+0.45)
Draw 24.3% (+0.41)
Spain 55.45% (-0.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.35% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.74% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 27.26% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 47.75% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 52.25% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 26.25% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 73.75% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 15.02% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 84.98% (+0.14)

Uruguay Goals

Over 1.5 20.95% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 79.05% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 5.9% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 94.1% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 1.35% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 98.65% (-0.07)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 80.03% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 19.97% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 49.3% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 50.7% (+0.70)
Over 2.5 23.69% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 76.31% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 9.23% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 90.77% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Uruguay 20.26%
Draw 24.29%
Spain 55.45%
Uruguay
1-0 @ 6.92% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 5.16% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 3.11% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 1.55% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.31% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.27% (+0.07)
Total : 20.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.73% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.32% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 24.29%
Spain
0-1 @ 12.61%
0-2 @ 10.46% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.89% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.46% (+0.05)
Other @ 9.15% (-0.33)
Total : 55.45%

Head to Head

Under-20s World Cup
Jul 6, 2013 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Felipe Avenatti 0' goal
Confederations Cup
Jun 16, 2013 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Diego Lugano 0' goal
  • Roberto Soldado 0' goal
  • goal Luis Suarez 0'