World Cup Gameweek 3
Uruguay
Jun 27, 2026 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Guadalajara Stadium
Spain
  • Juan Manuel Sanabria 54' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Varela 58' yellowcard
  • Nicolás de la Cruz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Agustín Canobbio 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Álex Baena 42'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 46'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 47'

Uruguay vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

Player Ratings
News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 11.00pm
Uruguay 2 - 2 Cape Verde

Spain

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 5.00pm
Spain 4 - 0 Saudi Arabia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 51%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-0 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Uruguay 24.77% ▲ (+4.63)
Draw 24.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Spain 51% ▼ (-4.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.1% ▲ (+0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.13% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 26.87% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 2.5 48.6% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 2.5 51.4% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 3.5 27.23% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 3.5 72.77% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 4.5 15.75% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 4.5 84.25% ▼ (-0.47)

Corners

Over 8 47.46% ▲ (+47.46)
Equal 8 11.35% ▲ (+11.35)
Under 8 41.19% ▲ (+41.19)
Over 9 36.77% ▲ (+36.78)
Equal 9 10.7% ▲ (+10.70)
Under 9 52.54% ▲ (+52.54)
Over 10.5 27.45% ▲ (+27.45)
Under 10.5 72.55% ▲ (+72.55)

Uruguay Goals

Over 1.5 25.5% ▲ (+4.61)
Under 1.5 74.5% ▼ (-4.60)
Over 2.5 9.1% ▲ (+3.18)
Under 2.5 90.9% ▼ (-3.18)
Over 3.5 2.81% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 3.5 97.19% ▼ (-1.44)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 77.25% ▼ (-2.80)
Under 0.5 22.75% ▲ (+2.81)
Over 1.5 46.07% ▼ (-3.39)
Under 1.5 53.93% ▲ (+3.39)
Over 2.5 21.39% ▼ (-2.54)
Under 2.5 78.61% ▲ (+2.54)
Over 3.5 8.11% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 3.5 91.89% ▲ (+1.35)

Score analysis

Uruguay 24.77%
Draw 24.23%
Spain 51%
Uruguay
1-0 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.24)
2-1 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.64)
2-0 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.69)
3-1 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.69)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.38)
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.7% ▲ (+1.43)
Total : 24.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.23%
Spain
0-1 @ 12.09% ▼ (-0.55)
0-2 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.77)
1-2 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.64)
0-3 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.62)
1-3 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.60)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 8% ▼ (-1.37)
Total : 51%

Head to Head

Under-20s World Cup
Uruguay
Jul 6, 2013 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Spain
  • Felipe Avenatti 0' goal
Confederations Cup
Spain
Jun 16, 2013 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Uruguay
  • Diego Lugano 0' goal
  • Roberto Soldado 0' goal
  • goal Luis Suarez 0'

Form Data

Uruguay 2 - 2 Cape Verde
Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Uruguay
Algeria 0 - 0 Uruguay
England 1 - 1 Uruguay
USA 5 - 1 Uruguay
Mexico 0 - 0 Uruguay
Spain 4 - 0 Saudi Arabia
Spain 0 - 0 Cape Verde
Peru 1 - 3 Spain
Spain 1 - 1 Iraq
Spain 0 - 0 Egypt
Spain 3 - 0 Serbia

Build-up

Feature
Feature
How to watch
Head to head