Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 0-1 (5.08%).