Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 21.05% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 11.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.91%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%) , while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.