International Friendlies
Mar 30, 2026 4.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Eden Park
  • 1' yellowcard
  • Nuno Da Costa 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lenini 46' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 60' yellowcard
  • Ayoni Santos 60' yellowcard
  • Sidny Cabral 61' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 61' yellowcard
  • Ryan Mendes 71' yellowcard
  • Deroy Duarte 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 2'
  • yellowcard Tony Miettinen 46'
  • yellowcard Onni Valakari 46'
  • yellowcard Matti Peltola 56'
  • yellowcard Topi Keskinen 56'
  • yellowcard Oiva Jukkola 72'
  • yellowcard Jaakko Oksanen 73'
  • yellowcard Doni Arifi 81'
  • yellowcard Juho Lähteenmäki 81'

Cape Verde vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 3.00am
Chile 4 - 2 Cape Verde

Finland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 6.00am
New Zealand 0 - 2 Finland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Finland had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Cape Verde 42.45%
Draw 24.85% (+0.21)
Finland 32.75% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.8% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.73% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 22.27% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 54.85% (-0.90)
Under 2.5 45.15% (+0.90)
Over 3.5 33.2% (-1.00)
Under 3.5 66.8% (+1.00)
Over 4.5 19.45% (-0.88)
Under 4.5 80.55% (+0.88)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 1.5 43.85% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 56.15% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 19.93% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 80.07% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 7.46% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 92.54% (+0.36)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 67.96% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 32.04% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 35.88% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 64.12% (+0.57)
Over 2.5 14.62% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 85.38% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 4.98% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 95.02% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Cape Verde 42.46%
Draw 24.86%
Finland 32.74%
Cape Verde
1-0 @ 8.84% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.7% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.68% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.38% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.09)
Other @ 7.22% (-0.33)
Total : 42.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 5.98% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.24% (-0.04)
Total : 24.86%
Finland
0-1 @ 7.51% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 7.45% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.85% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 4.74% (-0.27)
Total : 32.74%