Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 72.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.07% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 9.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 3-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%) , while for a Bermuda win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.