Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uruguay win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw has a probability of 26.55% and a win for Saudi Arabia has a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.44%) , while for a Saudi Arabia win it is 1-0 (8.77%).