Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uruguay win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw has a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cape Verde has a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.1%) , while for a Cape Verde win it is 0-1 (8.24%).