Portugal vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Portugal had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Portugal win was 2-1 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.