Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Portugal has a probability of 33.85% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Portugal win is 2-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.76%).