World Cup
Jul 6, 2026 8.00pm
Dallas Stadium

Portugal vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Spain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Portugal has a probability of 33.85% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Portugal win is 2-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.76%).

Result

Portugal 33.85%
Draw 23.8%
Spain 42.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.75%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.4%
Under 1.5 18.6%
Over 2.5 59.8%
Under 2.5 40.2%
Over 3.5 37.6%
Under 3.5 62.4%
Over 4.5 22.6%
Under 4.5 77.4%

Portugal Goals

Over 1.5 39.3%
Under 1.5 60.7%
Over 2.5 16.88%
Under 2.5 83.12%
Over 3.5 5.98%
Under 3.5 94.02%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 76.22%
Under 0.5 23.78%
Over 1.5 46.46%
Under 1.5 53.54%
Over 2.5 22%
Under 2.5 78%
Over 3.5 8.53%
Under 3.5 91.47%

Score analysis

Portugal 33.85%
Draw 23.81%
Spain 42.36%
Portugal
2-1 @ 7.76%
1-0 @ 6.55%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.28%
Other @ 5.67%
Total : 33.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.81%
Spain
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 4.85%
2-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 3.34%
Other @ 8.22%
Total : 42.36%

Head to Head

Nations League
Jun 8, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
ET
  • Goncalo Inacio 19' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 26' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 61' goal
  • Pedro Neto 82' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 100' yellowcard
  • Roberto Martinez 110' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Zubimendi 21'
  • yellowcard Fabian Ruiz 33'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 45'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 100'
  • yellowcard 110'
  • yellowcard Pedro Porro 110'
Nations League
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Alvaro Morata 88'
Nations League
Jun 2, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alvaro Morata 25' goal
  • Pablo Sarabia 37' yellowcard
  • Diego Llorente 72' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 38'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 39'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 82'
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 84'
  • yellowcard Pepe 90'+3'
International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2021 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ruben Semedo 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Reguilon 44'
International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2020 6.30pm