World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 28, 2026 12.30am
Miami Stadium

Colombia vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 18, 2026 3.00am
Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia

Portugal

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 17, 2026 6.00pm
Portugal 1 - 1 Congo DR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Colombia has a probability of 27.3% and a draw has a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Colombia win is 2-1 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.64%).

Result

Colombia 27.3%
Draw 23.15%
Portugal 49.5%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.95%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.95%
Under 1.5 19.05%
Over 2.5 59.05%
Under 2.5 40.95%
Over 3.5 36.65%
Under 3.5 63.35%
Over 4.5 22.01%
Under 4.5 77.99%

Colombia Goals

Over 1.5 32.8%
Under 1.5 67.2%
Over 2.5 12.54%
Under 2.5 87.46%
Over 3.5 3.93%
Under 3.5 96.07%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 80.22%
Under 0.5 19.78%
Over 1.5 51.54%
Under 1.5 48.46%
Over 2.5 25.89%
Under 2.5 74.11%
Over 3.5 10.59%
Under 3.5 89.41%

Score analysis

Colombia 27.3%
Draw 23.14%
Portugal 49.5%
Colombia
2-1 @ 6.79%
1-0 @ 5.95%
2-0 @ 3.79%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 27.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.14%
Portugal
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-1 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 7.48%
1-3 @ 5.68%
0-3 @ 4.47%
2-3 @ 3.62%
Other @ 10.35%
Total : 49.5%