World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 18, 2026 3.00am
Mexico City Stadium

Uzbekistan vs Colombia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions

Colombia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colombia win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw has a probability of 25.85% and a win for Uzbekistan has a probability of 19.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.71%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a Uzbekistan win it is 1-0 (7.62%).

Result

Uzbekistan 19.25% (+0.06)
Draw 25.85% (-0.15)
Colombia 54.9% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.8% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.63% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 33.37% (-0.48)
Over 2.5 40.35% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 59.65% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 20.2% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 79.75% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 10.98% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 89.02% (-0.18)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 1.5 17.46% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 82.54% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 4.58% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 95.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1%
Under 3.5 99%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 77.32% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 22.68% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 44.4% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 55.6% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 19.42% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 80.58% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 6.77% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 93.23% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Uzbekistan 19.26%
Draw 25.85%
Colombia 54.89%
Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 4.59% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.01% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 19.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.25% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 3.5% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 25.85%
Colombia
0-1 @ 15.5% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 11.71% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.8% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 5.92% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.45% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.78% (+0.04)
Other @ 6.73% (+0.14)
Total : 54.89%