World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 23, 2026 6.00pm
Houston Stadium

Portugal vs Uzbekistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 17, 2026 6.00pm
Portugal 1 - 1 Congo DR

Uzbekistan

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 18, 2026 3.00am
Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw has a probability of 21.85% and a win for Uzbekistan has a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.11%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.18%) , while for a Uzbekistan win it is 0-1 (5.04%).

Result

Portugal 65.95% (+1.86)
Draw 21.85% (-0.65)
Uzbekistan 12.18% (-1.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.35% (-0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.84% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 30.16% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 44.95% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 55.05% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 24.6% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 75.4% (-0.40)
Over 4.5 15.58% (+0.59)
Under 4.5 84.42% (-0.58)

Portugal Goals

Over 1.5 54.27% (+1.43)
Under 1.5 45.73% (-1.43)
Over 2.5 27.97% (+1.38)
Under 2.5 72.03% (-1.38)
Over 3.5 11.8% (+0.90)
Under 3.5 88.2% (-0.90)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5 40.6% (-1.76)
Under 0.5 59.4% (+1.76)
Over 1.5 12.58% (-1.20)
Under 1.5 87.42% (+1.21)
Over 2.5 3.07% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 96.93% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 0.66% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 99.34% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Portugal 65.96%
Draw 21.85%
Uzbekistan 12.18%
Portugal
1-0 @ 15.96% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 14.11% (+0.37)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.43% (+0.43)
3-1 @ 5.31% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.04)
Other @ 11.74% (+0.91)
Total : 65.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.18% (-0.34)
0-0 @ 9.15% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 21.85%
Uzbekistan
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.30)
1-2 @ 3.04% (-0.30)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.6% (-0.15)
Total : 12.18%