World Cup
Portugal
Jul 3, 2026 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Toronto Stadium
Croatia
  • Rúben Dias  17' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 68' goal
  • Gonçalo Ramos 90'+4' goal
  • goal Ivan Perišić 53'
  • yellowcard Luka Modrić 59'
  • yellowcard Ivan Perišić 90'+8'

Portugal vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Croatia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Portugal 49.75% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 23.2% ▲ (+0.15)
Croatia 27.1%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.75% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.9% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 1.5 19.1% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 2.5 58.85% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 2.5 41.15% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 3.5 36.45% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 3.5 63.55% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 4.5 21.91% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 4.5 78.09% ▲ (+0.55)

Portugal Goals

Over 1.5 51.6% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 48.4% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 2.5 25.95% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 2.5 74.05% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 3.5 10.66% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 89.34% ▲ (+0.28)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5 64.39% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 35.61% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 32.48% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 67.52% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 2.5 12.33% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 87.67% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 3.84% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 96.16% ▲ (+0.12)

Score analysis

Portugal 49.74%
Draw 23.2%
Croatia 27.11%
Portugal
2-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 10.43% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 49.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.2%
Croatia
1-2 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head

Nations League
Croatia
Nov 18, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Maksimir
Portugal
  • Josko Gvardiol 65' goal
  • goal Joao Felix 33'
  • yellowcard Renato Veiga 90'
  • yellowcard Fabio Silva 90'+5'
Nations League
Portugal
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Croatia
  • Diogo Dalot 7' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 34' goal
  • goal Diogo Dalot 41' (OG)
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 72'
International Friendlies
Portugal
Jun 8, 2024 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nacional
Croatia
  • Diogo Jota 48' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 77' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Modric 8'
  • yellowcard Ante Budimir 40'
  • goal Ante Budimir 56'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 59'
  • yellowcard Luka Ivanusec 90'+1'
Nations League
Croatia
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Portugal
  • Marko Rog 23' yellowcard
  • Mateo Kovacic 29' goal
  • Marko Rog 51' redcard
  • Ivan Perisic 57' yellowcard
  • Mateo Kovacic 65' goal
  • goal Ruben Dias 52'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 54'
  • goal Joao Felix 60'
  • goal Ruben Dias 90'
Nations League
Portugal
Sep 5, 2020 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
Croatia
  • Joao Cancelo 41' goal
  • Diogo Jota 58' goal
  • Joao Felix 70' goal
  • Andre Silva 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Tin Jedvaj 60'
  • yellowcard Borna Barisic 71'
  • goal Bruno Petkovic 90'+1'
International Friendlies
Croatia
Mar 30, 2020 6.30pm
Portugal

Form Data

Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal
Portugal 5 - 0 Uzbekistan
Portugal 1 - 1 Congo DR
Portugal 2 - 1 Nigeria
Portugal 2 - 1 Chile
USA 0 - 2 Portugal
Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana
Panama 0 - 1 Croatia
England 4 - 2 Croatia
Croatia 2 - 1 Slovenia
Croatia 0 - 2 Belgium
Brazil 3 - 1 Croatia

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