Portugal vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.