World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 27, 2026 10.00pm
Philadelphia Stadium

Croatia vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 24, 2026 12.00am
Panama 0 - 1 Croatia

Ghana

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 23, 2026 9.00pm
England 0 - 0 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Croatia win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw has a probability of 22.75% and a win for Ghana has a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.66%) , while for a Ghana win it is 0-1 (5.94%).

Result

Croatia 59.65% (+2.11)
Draw 22.75% (-0.11)
Ghana 17.55% (-2.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.55% (-3.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.55% (-1.79)
Under 1.5 25.45% (+1.78)
Over 2.5 50.2% (-2.35)
Under 2.5 49.8% (+2.35)
Over 3.5 28.45% (-2.11)
Under 3.5 71.55% (+2.10)
Over 4.5 17.02% (-1.24)
Under 4.5 82.98% (+1.24)

Croatia Goals

Over 1.5 53.52% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 46.48% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 27.25% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 72.75% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 11.3% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 88.7% (-0.04)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 51.4% (-3.25)
Under 0.5 48.6% (+3.25)
Over 1.5 19.28% (-3.09)
Under 1.5 80.72% (+3.10)
Over 2.5 5.3% (-1.54)
Under 2.5 94.7% (+1.54)
Over 3.5 1.21% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 98.79% (+0.54)

Score analysis

Croatia 59.65%
Draw 22.75%
Ghana 17.55%
Croatia
1-0 @ 12.45% (+1.03)
2-0 @ 11.15% (+0.90)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 6.73% (+0.54)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.30)
Other @ 11.21% (+0.09)
Total : 59.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.01% (+0.67)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.50)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.05)
Total : 22.75%
Ghana
0-1 @ 5.94% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.52)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.27)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.33)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.31)
Other @ 1.12% (-0.49)
Total : 17.55%