World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 27, 2026 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Philadelphia Stadium
  • Petar Sučić 31' goal
  • Ivan Perišić 68' yellowcard
  • Nikola Vlašić 83' goal
  • goal Derrick Luckassen 73'
  • yellowcard Kojo Peprah Oppong 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Kojo Peprah Oppong 90'+5'

Croatia vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 24, 2026 12.00am
Panama 0 - 1 Croatia

Ghana

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 23, 2026 9.00pm
England 0 - 0 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.65% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%) , while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Croatia 59.95% (+0.25)
Draw 22.65% (-0.11)
Ghana 17.35% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.5% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.64% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.36% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 50.3% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 49.7% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 28.55%
Under 3.5 71.4% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 17.13% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.87% (-0.05)

Croatia Goals

Over 1.5 53.78% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 46.22% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 27.5% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 72.5% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 11.47% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 88.53% (-0.15)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 51.16% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 48.84% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 19.08% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 80.92% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 5.22% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 94.78% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 1.18% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.82% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Croatia 59.96%
Draw 22.65%
Ghana 17.35%
Croatia
1-0 @ 12.45%
2-0 @ 11.2% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.66% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.79% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.9% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.38% (+0.15)
Total : 59.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 22.65%
Ghana
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.09% (-0.04)
Total : 17.35%

Build-up

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