Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 65.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.65% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%) , while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.