World Cup
Brazil
Jun 29, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Houston Stadium
Japan
  • Casimiro 14' yellowcard
  • Casimiro 15' yellowcard
  • Danilo 48' yellowcard
  • Casimiro 56' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Kaishu Sano 12'
  • yellowcard Kaishu Sano 13'
  • goal Kaishu Sano 29'
  • yellowcard Daichi Kamada 45'
  • yellowcard Junnosuke Suzuki 84'

Brazil vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

Japan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (9.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Brazil 42.1% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 27.55% ▼ (-0.10)
Japan 30.25% ▲ (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.9% ▲ (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.9% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 32.1% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 41.7% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 58.3% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 21.1% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 78.9% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 4.5 10.67% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 89.33% ▼ (-0.13)

Brazil Goals

Over 1.5 36.33% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 63.67% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 13.94% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 86.06% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 4.26% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.74% ▲ (+0.04)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 62.04% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 37.96% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 27.3% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 72.7% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 2.5 8.96% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 91.04% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 2.37% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 97.63% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Brazil 42.1%
Draw 27.54%
Japan 30.24%
Brazil
1-0 @ 12.47% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 42.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.54%
Japan
0-1 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 30.24%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Japan
Oct 14, 2025 11.30am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brazil
International Friendlies
Japan
Jun 6, 2022 11.20am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brazil
  • Wataru Endo 40' yellowcard
  • Daichi Kamada 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raphinha 35'
  • goal Neymar 77'
  • yellowcard Neymar 80'
International Friendlies
Japan
Nov 10, 2017 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Brazil
  • Maya Yoshida 9' yellowcard
  • Genki Haraguchi 54' yellowcard
  • Yosuke Ideguchi 58' yellowcard
  • Tomoaki Makino 63' goal
  • Hiroki Sakai 67' yellowcard
  • goal Neymar 10'
  • goal Marcelo 17'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 36'
  • yellowcard Neymar 57'
International Friendlies
Japan
Oct 14, 2014 11.45am
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
Brazil
  • goal Neymar 18'
  • goal Neymar 48'
  • goal Neymar 77'
  • goal Neymar 81'
Confederations Cup
Brazil
Jun 15, 2013 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Japan
  • Neymar 0' goal
  • Paulinho 0' goal
  • Jo 0' goal

Form Data

Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil
Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti
Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco
Brazil 2 - 1 Egypt
Brazil 6 - 2 Panama
Brazil 3 - 1 Croatia
Japan 1 - 1 Sweden
Tunisia 0 - 4 Japan
Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan
Japan 1 - 0 Iceland
England 0 - 1 Japan
Scotland 0 - 1 Japan

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