World Cup
Jun 29, 2026 6.00pm
Houston Stadium

Brazil vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

Japan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Japan has a probability of 29.9% and a draw has a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Japan win is 0-1 (9.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.85%).

Result

Brazil 42.6%
Draw 27.45%
Japan 29.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.31%
Under 1.5 31.69%
Over 2.5 42.1%
Under 2.5 57.9%
Over 3.5 21.45%
Under 3.5 78.55%
Over 4.5 10.9%
Under 4.5 89.1%

Brazil Goals

Over 1.5 36.95%
Under 1.5 63.05%
Over 2.5 14.33%
Under 2.5 85.67%
Over 3.5 4.43%
Under 3.5 95.57%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 61.98%
Under 0.5 38.02%
Over 1.5 27.2%
Under 1.5 72.8%
Over 2.5 8.89%
Under 2.5 91.11%
Over 3.5 2.35%
Under 3.5 97.65%

Score analysis

Brazil 42.59%
Draw 27.45%
Japan 29.89%
Brazil
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 42.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.45%
Japan
0-1 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 29.89%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 14, 2025 11.30am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2022 11.20am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wataru Endo 40' yellowcard
  • Daichi Kamada 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raphinha 35'
  • goal Neymar 77'
  • yellowcard Neymar 80'
International Friendlies
Nov 10, 2017 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Maya Yoshida 9' yellowcard
  • Genki Haraguchi 54' yellowcard
  • Yosuke Ideguchi 58' yellowcard
  • Tomoaki Makino 63' goal
  • Hiroki Sakai 67' yellowcard
  • goal Neymar 10'
  • goal Marcelo 17'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 36'
  • yellowcard Neymar 57'
International Friendlies
Oct 14, 2014 11.45am
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Neymar 18'
  • goal Neymar 48'
  • goal Neymar 77'
  • goal Neymar 81'
Confederations Cup
Jun 15, 2013 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Neymar 0' goal
  • Paulinho 0' goal
  • Jo 0' goal