Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Japan has a probability of 29.9% and a draw has a probability of 27.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Japan win is 0-1 (9.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.85%).