World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 26, 2026 12.00am
Dallas Stadium

Japan vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 5.00am
Tunisia 0 - 4 Japan

Sweden

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 20, 2026 6.00pm
Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 53%. A win for Sweden has a probability of 24.4% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sweden win is 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.4%).

Result

Japan 53% (+0.05)
Draw 22.6% (-0.05)
Sweden 24.4% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.2% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.15% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 18.85% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 59.35% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 40.65% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 37% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 63% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 22.6% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 77.4% (-0.20)

Japan Goals

Over 1.5 54.25% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 45.75% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 28.3% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 71.7% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 12.08% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 87.92% (-0.08)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 61.78% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 38.22% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 30.04% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 69.96% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 10.95% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 89.05% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 3.29% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.71% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Japan 52.99%
Draw 22.6%
Sweden 24.41%
Japan
2-1 @ 9.71% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.04% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.65% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.85% (+0.09)
Total : 52.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.85% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.65% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.6%
Sweden
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.5% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.34% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.06% (+0.06)
Total : 24.41%