World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 26, 2026 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Dallas Stadium
  • Daizen Maeda 56' goal
  • Shogo Taniguchi 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 32'
  • goal Anthony Elanga 62'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyökeres 85'

Japan vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 5.00am
Tunisia 0 - 4 Japan

Sweden

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 20, 2026 6.00pm
Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (6.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Japan 53.2% (+0.21)
Draw 22.55% (-0.10)
Sweden 24.25% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.9% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.88% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 19.12% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 59% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 41% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 36.7% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 63.25% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 22.4% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 77.6% (-0.13)

Japan Goals

Over 1.5 54.17% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 45.83% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 28.24% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 71.76% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 12.06% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 87.94% (-0.08)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 61.45% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.55% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.66% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 70.34% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.71% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 89.29% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.19% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.81% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Japan 53.2%
Draw 22.54%
Sweden 24.25%
Japan
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 8.14% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.07% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% (+0.04)
Other @ 11.85% (+0.10)
Total : 53.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.03)
Total : 22.54%
Sweden
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.98% (+0.01)
Total : 24.25%

Build-up

How to watch
Head to head
Predicted Lineups