Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 53%. A win for Sweden has a probability of 24.4% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sweden win is 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.4%).