Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.55% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%) , while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.