Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.25% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%) , while for a Scotland win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.