Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (9.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.