Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 72.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.78% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.81%) and 3-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%) , while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (3.81%).