International Friendlies
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Mar 31, 2026 10.00am
1
1
HT :
1
0
FT
Arslan Zeki Demirci Spor Kompleksi Stadyumu
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-
Loren Zúñiga
45'+3'
-
Rayan Raveloson
62'
Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 (9.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result
Equatorial Guinea
35.78%
▼
(-2.50)
Draw
27.22%
▲
(+0.77)
Madagascar
36.97%
▲
(+1.70)
Both Teams to Score:
52.33%
▼
(-1.81)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.54%
▼
(-1.83)
Under 1.5
28.46%
▲
(+1.84)
Over 2.5
47.42%
▼
(-2.61)
Under 2.5
52.58%
▲
(+2.63)
Over 3.5
27.18%
▼
(-2.61)
Under 3.5
72.82%
▲
(+2.60)
Over 4.5
15.39%
▼
(-2.17)
Under 4.5
84.61%
▲
(+2.18)
First Half Winner
Equatorial Guinea
26.87%
Draw
44.67%
Madagascar
28.46%
Team To Score First
Equatorial Guinea
40.74%
▼
(-0.30)
No Goal
8.72%
▲
(+0.67)
Madagascar
50.54%
▼
(-0.36)
Corners
Over 8
8.48%
Equal 8
3.41%
Under 8
88.11%
Over 9
6.33%
Equal 9
2.15%
Under 9
91.52%
Over 10.5
4.9%
Under 10.5
95.1%
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 1.5
34.88%
▼
(-3.34)
Under 1.5
65.12%
▲
(+3.35)
Over 2.5
14.08%
▼
(-2.89)
Under 2.5
85.92%
▲
(+2.90)
Over 3.5
4.9%
▼
(-1.74)
Under 3.5
95.1%
▲
(+1.74)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5
68.67%
▲
(+0.91)
Under 0.5
31.33%
▼
(-0.92)
Over 1.5
35.42%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 1.5
64.58%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 2.5
14.22%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
85.78%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
4.86%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
95.14%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Equatorial Guinea
35.78%
Draw
27.21%
Madagascar
36.98%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0
@
9.58%
▲
(+0.44)
2-1 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.42)
3-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 4.75% ▼ (-1.70)
Total : 35.78%
2-1 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.42)
3-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 4.75% ▼ (-1.70)
Total : 35.78%
Draw
1-1
@
12.22%
▲
(+0.45)
0-0 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.67)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 27.21%
0-0 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.67)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 27.21%
Madagascar
0-1
@
10.13%
▲
(+0.71)
1-2 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.42)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 36.98%
1-2 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.42)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 36.98%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
-
Johan N'Zi
31'
-
Ehsan Kari
33'