Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Madagascar win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Equatorial Guinea has a probability of 35.78% and a draw has a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 (9.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.22%).