International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 1.00am
Arslan Zeki Demirci Spor Kompleksi Stadyumu

Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 25, 2026 2.00pm
Kyrgyzstan 0 - 1 Eq Guinea

Madagascar

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 2.00pm
Kyrgyzstan 2 - 5 Madagascar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Madagascar win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Equatorial Guinea has a probability of 35.78% and a draw has a probability of 27.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 (9.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.22%).

Result

Equatorial Guinea 35.78% (-2.50)
Draw 27.22% (+0.77)
Madagascar 36.97% (+1.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.33% (-1.81)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.54% (-1.83)
Under 1.5 28.46% (+1.84)
Over 2.5 47.42% (-2.61)
Under 2.5 52.58% (+2.63)
Over 3.5 27.18% (-2.61)
Under 3.5 72.82% (+2.60)
Over 4.5 15.39% (-2.17)
Under 4.5 84.61% (+2.18)

First Half Winner

Equatorial Guinea 26.87%
Draw 44.67%
Madagascar 28.46%

Team To Score First

Equatorial Guinea 40.74% (-0.30)
No Goal 8.72% (+0.67)
Madagascar 50.54% (-0.36)

Corners

Over 8 8.48%
Equal 8 3.41%
Under 8 88.11%
Over 9 6.33%
Equal 9 2.15%
Under 9 91.52%
Over 10.5 4.9%
Under 10.5 95.1%

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 1.5 34.88% (-3.34)
Under 1.5 65.12% (+3.35)
Over 2.5 14.08% (-2.89)
Under 2.5 85.92% (+2.90)
Over 3.5 4.9% (-1.74)
Under 3.5 95.1% (+1.74)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 68.67% (+0.91)
Under 0.5 31.33% (-0.92)
Over 1.5 35.42% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 64.58% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 14.22% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 85.78% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 4.86% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.14% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Equatorial Guinea 35.78%
Draw 27.21%
Madagascar 36.98%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 9.58% (+0.44)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.42)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.32)
Other @ 4.75% (-1.70)
Total : 35.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (+0.45)
0-0 @ 8.72% (+0.67)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.06)
Total : 27.21%
Madagascar
0-1 @ 10.13% (+0.71)
1-2 @ 7.76% (+0.26)
0-2 @ 6.09% (+0.42)
1-3 @ 3.36% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.71% (+0.09)
Total : 36.98%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 17, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Johan N'Zi 31' goal
  • Ehsan Kari 33' goal