Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Madagascar win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Kyrgyzstan has a probability of 28.9% and a draw has a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Kyrgyzstan win is 1-0 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.3%).