Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.