Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 81.12%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 6.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.73%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-2 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
