Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 71.31%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester United Women in this match.
