Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 11.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
