New Saints
2 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Harrington (18'), Jefferies (28' og.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ahmun (7')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
71.25%	16.95%	11.8%

Both teams to score 53.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.67%

36.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.54%

58.46%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.99%

9.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.3%

30.7%

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.29%

41.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.82%

78.18%

Score Analysis

The New Saints 71.25%

Pen-y-Bont 11.8%

Draw 16.95%

The New Saints	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
2-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 9.05% 3-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 5.26% 4-1 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 3.34% 5-0 @ 2.53% 5-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 2.01% 6-0 @ 1.02% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.5% Total : 71.25%	1-1 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.16% 0-0 @ 3.76% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.95%	1-2 @ 3.46% 0-1 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.21% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.4% Total : 11.8%

New Saints2 - 1Pen-y-Bont

Data Analysis

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New Saints
2 - 1
Pen-y-Bont