Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
