Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 38.83% | 24.19% | 36.97% |
| Both teams to score 60.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.19% | 41.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.78% | 64.21% |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% | 21.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.3% | 54.7% |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% | 22.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.88% | 56.11% |
| Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 38.84%
Pen-y-Bont 36.97%
Draw 24.19%
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% 1-0 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.84% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-1 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.97% |


