MX23RW : Friday, December 13 22:12:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 27, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 4
New Saints


(37'), (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Robles (57', 66'), Ebbe (69'), Clark (90+3')
Harrington (4'), Holland (50'), Boateng (55')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
27.69%24.3%48.01%
Both teams to score 56.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27%45.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95%68.05%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.81%30.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.66%66.34%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86%19.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21%50.78%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 27.69%
    The New Saints 48.01%
    Draw 24.3%
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 6.92%
2-1 @ 6.85%
2-0 @ 4.14%
3-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 27.69%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 5.78%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-2 @ 7.9%
1-3 @ 5.21%
0-3 @ 4.35%
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.16%
0-4 @ 1.8%
2-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 48.01%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2020 2.30pm
Mar 13, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 4, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
1-0
New Saints
Breese (71')
Craig (37'), Brookwell (41'), Williams (61')
Aug 18, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
1-0
Caernarfon
Brobbel (27')
Brobbel (56'), Redmond (73'), Routledge (75')

Crowther (24'), Edwards (56')
Apr 20, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
New Saints
3-1
Caernarfon
Byrne (12', 81'), Draper (78')
Thomas (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU188462722528
5Barry Town UnitedBarry178452729-228
6Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon177462425-125
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1852112335-1217
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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