Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.