Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 17, 2020 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
1 - 2
River Plate

Britos (66')
Nunez (8')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Neris (19', 36')
Vicente (41'), Salaberry (52'), Rodriguez (65')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.99%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawRiver Plate
46.99%28.02%24.99%
Both teams to score 43.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.37%61.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.54%81.46%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65%26.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5%61.49%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95%41.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4%77.6%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 46.99%
    River Plate 24.99%
    Draw 28.01%
PenarolDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 14.42%
2-0 @ 9.62%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.28%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 46.99%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 24.99%

rhs 2.0


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