Maldonado

1 - 0

Progreso

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.