Danubio

0 - 3

Cerro Largo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 1-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.