European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 9, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
 

Moldova U21s
0 - 5
Germany U21s


Belousov (18'), Gulceac (32'), Turcan (63'), Clescenco (65'), Dros (80'), Chiperi (89')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Nmecha (19', 25' pen.), Ozcan (41'), Burkardt (67'), Kother (90+3')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Moldova Under-21s and Germany Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Moldova Under-21s had a probability of 13.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Moldova Under-21s win it was 1-0 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Moldova Under-21sDrawGermany Under-21s
13.68%19.4%66.92%
Both teams to score 50%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82%43.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42%65.58%
Moldova Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.8%43.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.54%79.46%
Germany Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.02%11.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.61%37.38%
Score Analysis
    Moldova Under-21s 13.68%
    Germany Under-21s 66.91%
    Draw 19.4%
Moldova Under-21sDrawGermany Under-21s
1-0 @ 4.34%
2-1 @ 3.87%
2-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.15%
3-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 13.68%
1-1 @ 9.21%
0-0 @ 5.17%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 19.4%
0-2 @ 11.65%
0-1 @ 10.97%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-3 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 6.92%
0-4 @ 4.38%
1-4 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-5 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 66.91%

rhs 2.0


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