Torreense
Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 21, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Campo Manuel Marques
Mafra

Torreense
1 - 0
Mafra

Welthon (90+3')
Welthon (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Queta (60'), Ferreira (65'), Lopes (79')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between Torreense and Mafra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torreense

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Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Torreense
Tuesday, December 6 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
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Mafra

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Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Mafra
Friday, December 16 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Mafra had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Mafra win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torreense in this match.

Result
TorreenseDrawMafra
40.04% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)26.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 52.41% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)52.33% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)74.02% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Torreense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)25.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)60.58% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Mafra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.49% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)65.5% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Torreense 40.04%
    Mafra 33.53%
    Draw 26.43%
TorreenseDrawMafra
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.04%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.53%