Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 42%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.