Segunda Division | Gameweek 35
Apr 17, 2021 at 1pm UK
Anxo Carro, Lugo

Lugo
1 - 3
Alcorcon

Herrera (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ojeda (21', 72'), Nwakali (81' pen.)
Nwakali (83')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Alcorcon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 35.98%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 31.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 1-2 (6.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.84%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (13.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alcorcon would win this match.

Result
LugoDrawAlcorcon
31.63%32.39%35.98%
Both teams to score 36.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.07%71.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.56%88.44%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56%41.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06%77.94%
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.76%38.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25%74.99%
Score Analysis
    Lugo 31.62%
    Alcorcon 35.98%
    Draw 32.38%
LugoDrawAlcorcon
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 6.15%
2-1 @ 5.91%
3-0 @ 1.81%
3-1 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 31.62%
0-0 @ 15.84%
1-1 @ 13.42%
2-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 32.38%
0-1 @ 15.23%
0-2 @ 7.32%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 35.98%

rhs 2.0


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