Las Palmas

3 - 2

Sporting Gijon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 2-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.