Elgin City
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Borough Briggs
Forfar Athletic

Elgin
0 - 1
Forfar


Gallagher (29'), Dingwall (57'), Fleming (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodden (79')
Skelly (17'), Robson (66'), McCallum (90+4')
Rodden (89')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Elgin City and Forfar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions
Last Game: Peterhead 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Stranraer 1-2 Forfar
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Forfar Athletic in this match.

Result
Elgin CityDrawForfar Athletic
36.42% (-0.835 -0.84)26.17% (0.244 0.24)37.4% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 53.64% (-0.843 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-1.066 -1.07)50.93% (1.067 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.947 -0.95)72.8% (0.946 0.95)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.98 -0.98)27.04% (0.98 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59% (-1.3 -1.3)62.4% (1.3 1.3)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (-0.163 -0.16)26.48% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (-0.217 -0.22)61.67% (0.219 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Elgin City 36.42%
    Forfar Athletic 37.4%
    Draw 26.17%
Elgin CityDrawForfar Athletic
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.142 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.42%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.302 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.359 0.36)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.4%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 20
Forfar
1-1
Elgin
Logan (83')
Whatley (66'), Malcolm (90+5')
Dingwall (76')
Sargent (81')
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 13
Elgin
2-1
Forfar
Golding (12'), Gallagher (73')
Murray (75')
McLean (27')
Rodden (34'), Malcolm (42'), Logan (58'), Skelly (67'), Taylor (79'), McCallum (90+1')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Forfar
1-1
Elgin
Morrison (60')
MacLean (34'), Skelly (80'), Cannon (90+3')
Booth (52')
Draper (58'), Dolzanski (80')
Mar 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Elgin
1-1
Forfar
Booth (25')
Jones (67')
Thomson (31')
Nditi (67'), Allan (87')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Forfar
2-1
Elgin
McLean (72', 90+1' pen.)
McLean (22'), Hutchinson (90+4')
Draper (36')
Dingwall (53'), McKenzie (58'), Cameron (60'), McHale (90'), McHale (90')
Cameron (90')