Elgin City
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 13
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Borough Briggs
Forfar Athletic

Elgin
2 - 1
Forfar

Golding (12'), Gallagher (73')
Murray (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McLean (27')
Rodden (34'), Malcolm (42'), Logan (58'), Skelly (67'), Taylor (79'), McCallum (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Elgin City and Forfar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Forfar 0-3 Spartans
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.

Result
Elgin CityDrawForfar Athletic
40.4% (0.012 0.01)26.28%33.31% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.84% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)51.74% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)73.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78%25.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)59.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.34% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)65.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Elgin City 40.4%
    Forfar Athletic 33.31%
    Draw 26.27%
Elgin CityDrawForfar Athletic
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.4%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.07%
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.31%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Forfar
1-1
Elgin
Morrison (60')
MacLean (34'), Skelly (80'), Cannon (90+3')
Booth (52')
Draper (58'), Dolzanski (80')
Mar 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Elgin
1-1
Forfar
Booth (25')
Jones (67')
Thomson (31')
Nditi (67'), Allan (87')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Forfar
2-1
Elgin
McLean (72', 90+1' pen.)
McLean (22'), Hutchinson (90+4')
Draper (36')
Dingwall (53'), McKenzie (58'), Cameron (60'), McHale (90'), McHale (90')
Cameron (90')
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Elgin
1-0
Forfar
MacLeman (13')
MacEwan (17'), Cameron (67')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Elgin
0-0
Forfar
(Aggregate 0-0 | Forfar win 3-2 on penalties)
MacEwan (40'), Dolzanski (45')
Munro (88')