Scottish League Two | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Elgin City

Spartans
1 - 3
Elgin

Henderson (36' pen.)
Henderson (76'), Whyte (86'), Wylie (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Girvan (15'), McDonald (71'), Gavin (89')
Girvan (35'), Booth (74')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Spartans and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartans

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last Game: Edinburgh 2-0 Spartans
Saturday, October 12 at 1pm in Scottish League Two

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last Game: Peterhead 0-1 Elgin
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Spartans win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.

Result
SpartansDrawElgin City
35.89% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)26.28% (0.056000000000001 0.06)37.83% (0.404 0.4)
Both teams to score 53.27% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (-0.256 -0.26)51.39% (0.262 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (-0.223 -0.22)73.2% (0.23 0.23)
Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.39 -0.39)27.57% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-0.508 -0.51)63.1% (0.514 0.51)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.11 0.11)26.45% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.142 0.14)61.63% (-0.135 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Spartans 35.89%
    Elgin City 37.83%
    Draw 26.27%
SpartansDrawElgin City
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.45% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.83%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Elgin
1-1
Spartans
Murray (75')
Murray (15'), Gallagher (61')
Ritchie (74')
Walls (42'), Watson (85'), Watson (85')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Elgin
2-2
Spartans
Cameron (48'), MacLeman (59')
Dingwall (90+3')
Henderson (33', 66')
Armstrong (40')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Spartans
1-2
Elgin
Henderson (69')
Dishington (36'), Waugh (90+4')
Gallagher (63'), Taylor (90+4')
Dolzanski (48')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Elgin
0-4
Spartans

Draper (24')
Henderson (3', 44', 67'), Russell (6')
Armstrong (52'), Whyte (54'), Russell (75'), Watson (84')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Spartans
2-1
Elgin
Craigen (61'), Armstrong (63')
Dingwall (77')