Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Station Park
Elgin City

Forfar
1 - 1
Elgin

Morrison (60')
MacLean (34'), Skelly (80'), Cannon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Booth (52')
Draper (58'), Dolzanski (80')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Forfar Athletic and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 0-3 Edinburgh
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 1-1 Elgin
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Forfar AthleticDrawElgin City
38.24% (0.069000000000003 0.07)25.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)35.77% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.26% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88% (0.035999999999994 0.04)50.12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91% (0.032 0.03)72.09% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.055999999999997 0.06)25.63% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (0.076000000000001 0.08)60.52% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)27.04% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)62.4% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Forfar Athletic 38.24%
    Elgin City 35.77%
    Draw 25.98%
Forfar AthleticDrawElgin City
1-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.24%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.77%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Elgin
1-1
Forfar
Booth (25')
Jones (67')
Thomson (31')
Nditi (67'), Allan (87')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Forfar
2-1
Elgin
McLean (72', 90+1' pen.)
McLean (22'), Hutchinson (90+4')
Draper (36')
Dingwall (53'), McKenzie (58'), Cameron (60'), McHale (90'), McHale (90')
Cameron (90')
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Elgin
1-0
Forfar
MacLeman (13')
MacEwan (17'), Cameron (67')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Elgin
0-0
Forfar
(Aggregate 0-0 | Forfar win 3-2 on penalties)
MacEwan (40'), Dolzanski (45')
Munro (88')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Forfar
0-0
Elgin
Robson (85')
Draper (34'), Ewan (45'), Dingwall (90')