Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.