Scottish Challenge Cup
Aug 13, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bellslea Park
  • Scott Barbour 76' goal
  • C 86' goal
  • goal Scott Reekie 19'
  • yellowcard Nathan Cannon 88'

Fraserburgh vs Forfar Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fraserburgh

All competitions

Forfar Athletic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fraserburgh win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fraserburgh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fraserburgh would win this match.

Result

Fraserburgh 40.84% (-4.18)
Draw 26.2% (+0.97)
Forfar Athletic 32.96% (+3.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

53% (-1.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.5% (-2.89)
Under 2.5 51.5% (+2.89)
Over 3.5 26.7% (-2.58)
Under 3.5 73.3% (+2.57)
Over 4.5 12.45% (-1.72)
Under 4.5 87.55% (+1.72)

Fraserburgh Goals

Over 0.5 75.12% (-3.29)
Under 0.5 24.88% (+3.28)
Over 1.5 40.51% (-4.79)
Under 1.5 59.49% (+4.79)

Forfar Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 70.55% (+0.73)
Under 0.5 29.45% (-0.73)
Over 1.5 34.55% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 65.45% (-0.89)

Score analysis

Fraserburgh 40.84%
Draw 26.2%
Forfar Athletic 32.96%
Fraserburgh
1-0 @ 10.19% (+0.21)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.51)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.57)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.67)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.63)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.36)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.40)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.36)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 40.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (+0.50)
0-0 @ 7.33% (+0.81)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
Forfar Athletic
0-1 @ 8.96% (+1.15)
1-2 @ 7.62% (+0.45)
0-2 @ 5.47% (+0.80)
1-3 @ 3.1% (+0.25)
0-3 @ 2.23% (+0.37)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 32.96%