Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Jul 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Bellslea Park

Fraserburgh
1 - 1
Hearts U21s

Butcher (73')
FT
(aet)
Ross (29')
Fraserburgh win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Fraserburgh and Hearts Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fraserburgh

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fraserburgh 0-0 Celtic (3-5 pen.)
Saturday, July 1 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Hearts Under-21s

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Brechin 2-2 Hearts U21s (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fraserburgh win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Hearts Under-21s had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fraserburgh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.15%) and 1-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Hearts Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%).

Result
FraserburghDrawHearts Under-21s
53.08% (0.051000000000002 0.05)21.62%25.3% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 63.66% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.76% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)35.24% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.74% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)57.25% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Fraserburgh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)13.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.52% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)40.48% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Hearts Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)26.42% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)61.59% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Fraserburgh 53.08%
    Hearts Under-21s 25.3%
    Draw 21.62%
FraserburghDrawHearts Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.018 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 53.08%
1-1 @ 9.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.56% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 25.3%