/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F11%2Felglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F11%2Feaslog.png)
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Lewis Hyde
6'
-
Kyle Girvan
38'
-
Jack Murray
41'
-
Russell Dingwall
49'
-
Dylan Gavin
64'
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Ryan Sargent
85'
-
Ryan Sargent
85'
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Kieran Millar
20'
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Andy Munro
71'
-
Connor McManus
76'
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Scott Shepherd
90'+5'
Elgin City vs East Fife - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
Result
Elgin City
40.84%
▼
(-0.31)
Draw
25.64%
▲
(+0.21)
East Fife
33.52%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
55%
▼
(-0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.01%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 2.5
48.98%
▲
(+0.89)
Over 3.5
28.93%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 3.5
71.07%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 4.5
13.94%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 4.5
86.06%
▲
(+0.56)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5
76.25%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 0.5
23.75%
▲
(+0.55)
Over 1.5
42.1%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 1.5
57.9%
▲
(+0.79)
East Fife Goals
Over 0.5
72.14%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 0.5
27.86%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 1.5
36.53%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 1.5
63.46%
▲
(+0.48)
Score analysis
Elgin City
40.84%
Draw
25.63%
East Fife
33.52%
Elgin City
1-0
@
9.51%
▲
(+0.20)
2-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 40.84%
2-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 40.84%
Draw
1-1
@
12.15%
▲
(+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
East Fife
0-1
@
8.46%
▲
(+0.22)
1-2 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.52%
1-2 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.52%