Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.