Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.