Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.