Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.